Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 95.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 66.3%
Neutral zone
Skinner 81.3%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Skinner
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Skinner
Stastny
Last 10: Skinner 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
3
1
Skinner
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Skinner
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Skinner
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
54.6% (10,616)
-12.3%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
59.1% (1,994)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
52.9% (1,119)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Skinner shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Skinner
Stastny
Home
48.2% (949)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
39.9% (791)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Skinner
Stastny
P1
41.6%
56.3%
P2
46.0%
55.4%
P3
46.4%
53.5%
OT
23.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 06:19 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |