Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 31.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 43.5% vs Gagner 47.5% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 86.9%
Defensive zone
Gagner 90.4%
Neutral zone
Skinner 51.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Skinner
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Skinner
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Skinner
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (152)
51.3% (158)
-13.8%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
66.7% (36)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
33.6% (110)
-33.6%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Skinner is 31.8% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Skinner shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Skinner
Gagner
Home
41.5% (130)
53.2% (154)
Away
39.4% (94)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Skinner
Gagner
P1
32.9%
35.6%
P2
47.1%
52.7%
P3
40.6%
51.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:59 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |