Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 36.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Gagner 46.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 89.6%
Defensive zone
Gagner 83.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 50.2%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Skinner
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Skinner
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
0
Skinner
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Skinner
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
45.4% (4,699)
-3.1%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
51.5% (928)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
35.0% (226)
-1.7%
On even strength, Gagner has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Skinner is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Skinner shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Skinner
Gagner
Home
48.2% (949)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
39.9% (791)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Skinner
Gagner
P1
41.6%
44.6%
P2
46.0%
46.1%
P3
46.4%
47.3%
OT
23.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:59 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |