Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +24.5% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 31.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 42.2% vs Tavares 57.2% (-24.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 50.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 58.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 52.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Boqvist
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Boqvist
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Boqvist
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
35.9% (78)
58.0% (914)
-22.1%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
57.0% (235)
-37.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
57.9% (19)
-57.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boqvist is 31.1% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Boqvist shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Tavares
Home
29.8% (57)
57.8% (614)
Away
40.0% (30)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Boqvist
Tavares
P1
46.7%
58.0%
P2
29.4%
56.9%
P3
21.7%
58.4%
Final 5 min
36.0%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
33.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |