Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +23.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Boqvist wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 39.6% vs Tavares 59.8% (-23.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 68.8%
Defensive zone
Boqvist 75.6%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 82.9%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Boqvist
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Boqvist
Tavares
Last 9: Boqvist 2-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Boqvist
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boqvist
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
Boqvist
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (432)
60.9% (1,043)
-24.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
60.4% (278)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
47.6% (21)
+27.4%
On penalty kill, Boqvist has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boqvist is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Boqvist shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Tavares
Home
36.3% (182)
63.5% (684)
Away
38.1% (268)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Boqvist
Tavares
P1
35.2%
60.3%
P2
40.4%
60.4%
P3
36.0%
60.1%
OT
50.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
36.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
37.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |