Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 45.1% vs Tavares 57.7% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 72.1%
Defensive zone
Boqvist 70.3%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 70.3%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Boqvist
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Boqvist
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Boqvist
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Boqvist
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (148)
57.7% (998)
-13.8%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
60.5% (271)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
56.4% (39)
-29.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boqvist is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (104).
Boqvist shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Tavares
Home
43.0% (93)
59.7% (610)
Away
41.3% (75)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Boqvist
Tavares
P1
55.9%
57.2%
P2
37.3%
58.5%
P3
31.0%
59.4%
Final 5 min
45.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
42.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |