Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 41.6% vs Roy 47.2% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 67.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 60.5%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 52.5%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Boqvist
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Boqvist
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Boqvist
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (140)
47.5% (617)
-12.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
39.6% (53)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
46.4% (97)
+53.6%
On penalty kill, Boqvist has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Boqvist is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Boqvist shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Roy
Home
37.6% (93)
47.2% (398)
Away
32.0% (50)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Boqvist
Roy
P1
28.6%
48.6%
P2
34.8%
48.8%
P3
41.0%
43.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
35.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |