Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +18.9% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 42.2% vs Roy 51.9% (-18.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 84.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 56.5%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 64.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Boqvist
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Boqvist
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Boqvist
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
35.9% (78)
51.9% (547)
-16.0%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
54.1% (37)
-34.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
53.3% (92)
-53.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Boqvist is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Boqvist shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Roy
Home
29.8% (57)
54.0% (328)
Away
40.0% (30)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Boqvist
Roy
P1
46.7%
53.5%
P2
29.4%
51.6%
P3
21.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
36.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
33.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |