Jason Spezza vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Spezza wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.7% vs Kotkaniemi 48.2% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 56.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 92.2%
Neutral zone
Spezza 87.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
3
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
1
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (292)
46.3% (467)
+11.6%
Power Play
62.3% (53)
55.7% (79)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (138)
100.0% (3)
-47.1%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Spezza is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Spezza shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
Home
58.4% (238)
51.0% (243)
Away
55.5% (245)
45.4% (306)
By Period
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
P1
59.2%
48.8%
P2
54.8%
51.2%
P3
57.4%
42.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 10, 2021 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |