Jeff Carter vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 65.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 97.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 88.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Carter
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Carter
Kotkaniemi
Last 9: Carter 8-1 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
6
0
Carter
Kotkaniemi
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Carter
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
51.8% (637)
+7.9%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
48.2% (56)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
42.9% (7)
+10.3%
On power play, Carter has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Carter
Kotkaniemi
Home
58.7% (455)
53.1% (339)
Away
60.0% (483)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Carter
Kotkaniemi
P1
61.3%
48.3%
P2
57.1%
55.0%
P3
59.8%
50.4%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |