Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Justin Kirkland
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kirkland on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Kirkland 46.0% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 90.6%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 61.0%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 77.0%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Kotkaniemi
Kirkland
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kotkaniemi
Kirkland
Last 7: Kotkaniemi 5-2 Kirkland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Kirkland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Kirkland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kirkland
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Kirkland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Kirkland
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
45.1% (113)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
23.1% (13)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Kirkland has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kirkland shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Kirkland is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Kirkland
Home
52.5% (366)
42.5% (73)
Away
51.0% (343)
43.4% (53)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Kirkland
P1
53.8%
55.0%
P2
49.2%
44.9%
P3
52.6%
27.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Kirkland
44.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |