Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Justin Kirkland
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kirkland on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Kirkland 48.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 87.4%
Defensive zone
Kirkland 61.8%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 61.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Kotkaniemi
Kirkland
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kotkaniemi
Kirkland
Last 7: Kotkaniemi 5-2 Kirkland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Kirkland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Kirkland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kirkland
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Kirkland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Kirkland
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (3,840)
49.1% (230)
+0.0%
Power Play
51.1% (350)
0.0% (1)
+51.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
38.9% (36)
+6.8%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +51.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kirkland shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,774).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Kirkland is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Kirkland
Home
49.7% (2,194)
48.0% (148)
Away
48.6% (2,031)
47.1% (119)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Kirkland
P1
49.8%
55.1%
P2
50.5%
46.0%
P3
47.2%
41.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Kirkland
44.0%▼
46.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |