Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Mason McTavish
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs McTavish 50.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 63.5%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 63.5%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 60.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
Last 6: Kotkaniemi 5-1 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
1
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
51.1% (769)
+1.7%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
50.6% (178)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
28.6% (14)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
Home
52.5% (366)
52.3% (461)
Away
51.0% (343)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
P1
53.8%
51.5%
P2
49.2%
54.0%
P3
52.6%
47.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |