Who wins more faceoffs, Jesperi Kotkaniemi or Mason McTavish?

Jesperi Kotkaniemi leads the head-to-head 7-1 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Jesperi Kotkaniemi's faceoff record against Mason McTavish?

Jesperi Kotkaniemi is 7-1 against Mason McTavish in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 3-1, Defensive 3-0, Neutral 1-0.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Jesperi Kotkaniemi or Mason McTavish?

Jesperi Kotkaniemi is the predicted winner with a 65.0% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Mason McTavish

Jesperi KotkaniemiL vs Mason McTavishL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.6%). Look for Kotkaniemi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs McTavish 48.7% (+0.6%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Kotkaniemi 72.7%

Defensive zone Kotkaniemi 57.8%

Neutral zone Kotkaniemi 55.7%

Result Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 65.0%

65.0%

35.0%

Kotkaniemi McTavish

Head-to-Head Record

7 - 1 (8 meetings)

Kotkaniemi McTavish

Last 8: Kotkaniemi 7-1 McTavish

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Kotkaniemi

Kotkaniemi McTavish

4 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Kotkaniemi

Kotkaniemi McTavish

3 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Kotkaniemi

Kotkaniemi McTavish

1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Kotkaniemi

McTavish

Edge

Even Strength

49.0% (3,852)

48.2% (2,788)

+0.8%

Power Play

51.3% (351)

52.6% (435)

-1.3%

Penalty Kill

45.7% (35)

34.3% (35)

+11.4%

On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +11.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

McTavish shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).

Kotkaniemi shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).

Home / Away

Kotkaniemi

McTavish

Home

49.7% (2,197)

49.8% (1,678)

Away

48.7% (2,041)

47.4% (1,580)

By Period

Kotkaniemi

McTavish

49.9%

50.0%

50.4%

47.8%

47.2%

48.4%

50.0%

43.5%

Final 5 min

49.6%

49.7%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Kotkaniemi

52.0%▲

49.0%

49.2%

McTavish

46.0%▬

45.5%

48.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 23, 2025	2	13:21	Offensive	Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Mar 23, 2025	2	10:34	Neutral	Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Jan 12, 2025	3	15:55	Offensive	Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Jan 12, 2025	3	11:19	Defensive	Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Jan 12, 2025	3	11:12	Defensive	Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Jan 12, 2025	2	01:13	Offensive	Mason McTavish
Jan 11, 2024	1	15:39	Defensive	Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Dec 6, 2022	2	10:34	Offensive	Jesperi Kotkaniemi

Kotkaniemi's Profile | McTavish's Profile