Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Matthew Poitras
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kotkaniemi wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Poitras shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Poitras 47.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 53.7%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 72.8%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 62.2%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Kotkaniemi
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kotkaniemi
Poitras
Last 7: Kotkaniemi 4-3 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poitras
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Poitras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
4
0
Kotkaniemi
Poitras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poitras
0
2
Kotkaniemi
Poitras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
45.2% (126)
+7.6%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
66.7% (3)
-29.2%
On power play, Poitras has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Poitras is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Poitras
Home
52.5% (366)
43.3% (67)
Away
51.0% (343)
48.4% (62)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Poitras
P1
53.8%
44.1%
P2
49.2%
47.1%
P3
52.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Matthew Poitras |