Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Matthew Poitras
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Poitras 45.3% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 66.3%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 61.3%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 59.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Kotkaniemi
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kotkaniemi
Poitras
Last 7: Kotkaniemi 4-3 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poitras
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Poitras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
4
0
Kotkaniemi
Poitras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poitras
0
2
Kotkaniemi
Poitras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
43.6% (388)
+5.4%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
60.0% (10)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
66.7% (3)
-21.0%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,454).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Poitras is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Poitras
Home
49.7% (2,197)
43.6% (195)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
44.7% (206)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Poitras
P1
49.9%
42.6%
P2
50.4%
45.5%
P3
47.2%
44.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Matthew Poitras |