Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Domi 50.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 50.3%
Defensive zone
Domi 51.0%
Neutral zone
Domi 51.5%
Result
Max Domi favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Kotkaniemi
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kotkaniemi
Domi
Last 7: Kotkaniemi 3-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
49.7% (499)
+3.1%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
56.8% (44)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
0.0% (1)
+14.3%
On power play, Domi has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Domi is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Domi
Home
52.5% (366)
51.0% (298)
Away
51.0% (343)
49.2% (246)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Domi
P1
53.8%
54.8%
P2
49.2%
48.9%
P3
52.6%
46.4%
Final 5 min
51.3%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Max Domi |