Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.8%). Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Domi 48.8% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 57.2%
Defensive zone
Domi 52.7%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 50.8%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Kotkaniemi
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Kotkaniemi
Domi
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 4-6 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
0
Kotkaniemi
Domi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
3
Kotkaniemi
Domi
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
2
4
Kotkaniemi
Domi
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
48.1% (4,296)
+0.9%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
53.4% (633)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
48.8% (41)
-3.1%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Domi
Home
49.7% (2,197)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Domi
P1
49.9%
48.7%
P2
50.4%
48.3%
P3
47.2%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Max Domi |