Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Nick Suzuki
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 51.6%). Look for Kotkaniemi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kotkaniemi wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Suzuki 51.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 70.1%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 57.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 55.8%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Kotkaniemi
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kotkaniemi
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
5
0
Kotkaniemi
Suzuki
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
52.4% (981)
+0.4%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
50.7% (304)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
36.4% (33)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Suzuki
Home
52.5% (366)
53.2% (645)
Away
51.0% (343)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Suzuki
P1
53.8%
48.9%
P2
49.2%
51.5%
P3
52.6%
54.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |