Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Nicolas Roy
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kotkaniemi wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 50.9% vs Roy 48.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 57.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 63.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Kotkaniemi
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kotkaniemi
Roy
Last 6: Kotkaniemi 3-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (309)
49.5% (746)
+0.3%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
50.7% (75)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
42.7% (110)
+7.3%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Roy
Home
51.7% (203)
47.7% (491)
Away
50.4% (141)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Roy
P1
49.5%
51.1%
P2
50.4%
44.6%
P3
53.8%
50.9%
Final 5 min
55.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:08 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |