Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Nicolas Roy
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kotkaniemi wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Roy 47.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 86.7%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 61.0%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 73.5%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Kotkaniemi
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Kotkaniemi
Roy
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
0
Kotkaniemi
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
1
Kotkaniemi
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
2
Kotkaniemi
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
48.6% (679)
+4.2%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
48.0% (50)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
34.7% (49)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Roy
Home
52.5% (366)
49.3% (345)
Away
51.0% (343)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Roy
P1
53.8%
47.6%
P2
49.2%
47.1%
P3
52.6%
47.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |