Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 48.3%). Kotkaniemi wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bäck shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.7% vs Bäck 49.6% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 69.9%
Defensive zone
Bäck 54.7%
Neutral zone
Bäck 53.9%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Kotkaniemi
Bäck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Bäck
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (195)
57.9% (19)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
30.0% (10)
+3.3%
On even strength, Bäck has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bäck shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Bäck is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Bäck
Home
46.8% (126)
84.6% (13)
Away
50.0% (74)
18.8% (16)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Bäck
P1
50.0%
18.2%
P2
47.9%
78.6%
P3
45.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Bäck
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.3%