Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Bäck 51.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 69.3%
Defensive zone
Bäck 63.1%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 52.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Kotkaniemi
Bäck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kotkaniemi
Bäck
Last 6: Kotkaniemi 3-3 Bäck
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Kotkaniemi
Bäck
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Bäck
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
55.9% (143)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
33.3% (30)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Bäck has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bäck shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Bäck is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Bäck
Home
52.5% (366)
47.6% (82)
Away
51.0% (343)
56.0% (91)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Bäck
P1
53.8%
54.3%
P2
49.2%
48.1%
P3
52.6%
56.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Bäck
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:07 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Neutral | Oskar Bäck |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 14:53 | Neutral | Oskar Bäck |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Oskar Bäck |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |