Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bäck shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Bäck 48.7% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 69.2%
Defensive zone
Bäck 56.8%
Neutral zone
Bäck 54.0%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Kotkaniemi
Bäck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Bäck
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
51.2% (43)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
27.3% (11)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bäck shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Bäck is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Bäck
Home
46.5% (129)
71.4% (21)
Away
50.0% (84)
30.3% (33)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Bäck
P1
51.3%
45.5%
P2
46.1%
56.5%
P3
45.9%
22.2%
Final 5 min
48.2%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Bäck
44.0%▼
52.0%
46.3%