Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Pavel Zacha
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kotkaniemi wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 50.9% vs Zacha 50.1% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 52.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 52.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
Last 5: Kotkaniemi 2-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (309)
48.0% (296)
+1.8%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
61.0% (59)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
50.0% (22)
+0.0%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
Home
51.7% (203)
48.9% (223)
Away
50.4% (141)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
P1
49.5%
47.9%
P2
50.4%
48.3%
P3
53.8%
54.3%
Final 5 min
55.1%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 03:14 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |