Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Pavel Zacha
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Zacha 52.8% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 55.5%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 53.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.5%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
1
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
54.1% (534)
-1.3%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
56.0% (109)
-18.5%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
44.8% (96)
-30.5%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
Home
52.5% (366)
53.4% (406)
Away
51.0% (343)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Zacha
P1
53.8%
56.8%
P2
49.2%
53.6%
P3
52.6%
49.2%
Final 5 min
51.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |