Aleksander Barkov vs Joe Pavelski
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Pavelski 50.9% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 69.3%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 68.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 68.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Barkov
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Barkov
Pavelski
Last 5: Barkov 1-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Barkov
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Barkov
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
51.5% (594)
+5.4%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
51.7% (87)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
28.6% (14)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Barkov is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Barkov shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Barkov
Pavelski
Home
57.4% (540)
53.1% (339)
Away
57.1% (560)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Barkov
Pavelski
P1
57.6%
53.8%
P2
56.6%
47.8%
P3
56.9%
50.2%
OT
72.2%
71.4%
Final 5 min
57.3%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |