Alexander Kerfoot vs Joe Pavelski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.8% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Kerfoot leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 79.8%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 64.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 72.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Kerfoot
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Kerfoot
Pavelski
Last 10: Kerfoot 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
3
Kerfoot
Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
6
2
Kerfoot
Pavelski
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Kerfoot
Pavelski
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,831)
53.6% (8,791)
-4.9%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
58.2% (2,122)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
50.9% (1,138)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,375).
Kerfoot shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Pavelski
Home
51.0% (1,786)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
44.3% (1,699)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Kerfoot
Pavelski
P1
47.2%
53.5%
P2
46.0%
55.2%
P3
50.4%
53.9%
OT
29.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:33 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |