Andrew Cogliano vs Joe Pavelski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Cogliano wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 65.2%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 57.1%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 53.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Cogliano
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
16
(31 meetings)
15
16
Cogliano
Pavelski
Last 10: Cogliano 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
9
Cogliano
Pavelski
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
3
Cogliano
Pavelski
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cogliano
9
4
Cogliano
Pavelski
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
53.6% (8,791)
-11.9%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
58.2% (2,122)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
50.9% (1,138)
-12.1%
On power play, Pavelski has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Cogliano is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (703).
Cogliano shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Pavelski
Home
43.4% (1,069)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Cogliano
Pavelski
P1
41.2%
53.5%
P2
37.7%
55.2%
P3
43.6%
53.9%
OT
41.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
38.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 16:41 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 1 | 15:34 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |