Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Pavelski 52.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 63.6%
Defensive zone
Point 53.9%
Neutral zone
Point 60.6%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Point
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Point
Pavelski
Last 6: Point 2-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Point
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Point
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Point
Pavelski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (728)
54.0% (730)
-3.3%
Power Play
53.3% (122)
57.1% (156)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
41.7% (103)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Point is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Point shoots right. Pavelski is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Home / Away
Point
Pavelski
Home
50.7% (424)
55.2% (458)
Away
50.9% (432)
51.4% (531)
By Period
Point
Pavelski
P1
45.5%
54.0%
P2
55.3%
54.5%
P3
53.0%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 03:32 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |