Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.8% vs Pavelski 54.4% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 87.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 79.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 51.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Cizikas
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Cizikas
Pavelski
Last 6: Cizikas 5-1 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Pavelski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (685)
53.2% (690)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
61.5% (174)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (198)
55.3% (47)
-6.8%
On power play, Pavelski has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Cizikas is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Cizikas shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Pavelski
Home
55.1% (448)
56.1% (421)
Away
51.0% (443)
53.9% (490)
By Period
Cizikas
Pavelski
P1
51.7%
57.1%
P2
53.1%
55.8%
P3
54.5%
52.5%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.9%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |