Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Helm leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 78.5%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 51.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 69.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Helm
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Helm
Pavelski
Last 10: Helm 5-5 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
5
Helm
Pavelski
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
5
3
Helm
Pavelski
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
2
1
Helm
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
53.6% (8,791)
-2.5%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
58.2% (2,122)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
50.9% (1,138)
-2.9%
On power play, Pavelski has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Helm is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,242).
Helm shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Helm
Pavelski
Home
51.8% (1,800)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Helm
Pavelski
P1
49.5%
53.5%
P2
52.8%
55.2%
P3
49.7%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Darren Helm |