Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 52.0%). Look for Kampf on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Kampf wins 57.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 52.5% vs Pavelski 51.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Kampf leads 19-8 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 79.5%
Defensive zone
Kampf 80.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 53.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Kampf
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
8
(27 meetings)
19
8
Kampf
Pavelski
Last 10: Kampf 8-2 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
5
7
Kampf
Pavelski
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
10
1
Kampf
Pavelski
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kampf
4
0
Kampf
Pavelski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (581)
53.5% (508)
+2.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
51.7% (118)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (187)
41.4% (70)
+0.3%
On power play, Kampf has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Kampf is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Kampf shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Home / Away
Kampf
Pavelski
Home
54.1% (386)
54.3% (372)
Away
51.4% (391)
49.4% (324)
By Period
Kampf
Pavelski
P1
55.3%
48.7%
P2
46.8%
57.7%
P3
56.3%
50.2%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| May 9, 2021 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| May 9, 2021 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| May 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:09 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:22 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 09:05 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 01:22 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 10:26 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |