Frederick Gaudreau vs Joe Pavelski
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 89.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 62.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 79.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Gaudreau
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gaudreau
Pavelski
Last 5: Gaudreau 4-1 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
52.3% (560)
-3.9%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
57.5% (113)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
62.5% (16)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Gaudreau is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Gaudreau shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Pavelski
Home
51.1% (507)
54.2% (360)
Away
47.4% (508)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Gaudreau
Pavelski
P1
49.4%
54.5%
P2
47.4%
56.7%
P3
51.2%
50.8%
OT
46.2%
30.8%
Final 5 min
45.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 4, 2022 | OT | 00:31 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |