Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Joe Pavelski

2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Joe Pavelski holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 52.0% vs Pavelski 54.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Pavelski 58.9%
Defensive zone Pageau 91.4%
Neutral zone Pageau 63.5%
Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Pageau Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1 - 7 (8 meetings)
1
7
Pageau Pavelski
Last 8: Pageau 1-7 Pavelski

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
4
Pageau Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
3
Pageau Pavelski
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (882)
53.6% (657)
+0.5%
Power Play
45.0% (60)
60.2% (221)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (235)
51.7% (60)
-4.9%
On power play, Pavelski has a +15.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Pageau is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Pageau shoots right. Pavelski is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Pageau
Pavelski
Home
54.7% (592)
57.4% (470)
Away
49.6% (585)
52.6% (468)
By Period
Pageau
Pavelski
P1
51.0%
53.4%
P2
54.3%
55.6%
P3
51.8%
55.5%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%
57.5%
52.2%
Pavelski
62.0%
52.0%
55.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 18, 2016 OT 02:53 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 18, 2016 3 12:45 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Jan 18, 2016 3 06:30 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Jan 18, 2016 2 04:08 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Jan 18, 2016 1 18:25 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Dec 18, 2015 3 17:36 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Dec 18, 2015 3 00:16 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 18, 2015 1 11:10 Offensive Joe Pavelski