Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Thornton 46.2% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 72.6%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 63.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 74.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Pavelski
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pavelski
Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
43.5% (161)
+9.0%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
50.0% (14)
+4.5%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Thornton
Home
55.0% (391)
41.5% (106)
Away
49.7% (360)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Pavelski
Thornton
P1
50.8%
50.8%
P2
55.0%
41.0%
P3
52.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |