Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Larsson 46.9% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 71.6%
Defensive zone
Larsson 72.3%
Neutral zone
Larsson 51.0%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Pavelski
Larsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
46.7% (345)
+5.8%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
61.1% (18)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
39.0% (59)
+5.4%
On power play, Larsson has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Larsson
Home
55.0% (391)
52.1% (167)
Away
49.7% (360)
42.4% (255)
By Period
Pavelski
Larsson
P1
50.8%
50.0%
P2
55.0%
46.7%
P3
52.0%
42.6%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%