Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 51.8% vs Lammikko 46.3% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 94.4%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 78.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 85.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Pavelski
Lammikko
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Pavelski
Lammikko
Last 7: Pavelski 6-1 Lammikko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski
Lammikko
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Lammikko
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Lammikko
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Lammikko
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (508)
45.5% (253)
+8.0%
Power Play
51.7% (118)
50.0% (4)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (70)
36.8% (19)
+4.6%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lammikko shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Pavelski shoots right. Lammikko is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Lammikko
Home
54.3% (372)
48.9% (133)
Away
49.4% (324)
41.3% (143)
By Period
Pavelski
Lammikko
P1
48.7%
48.3%
P2
57.7%
41.9%
P3
50.2%
44.6%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |