Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lammikko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Lammikko 50.9% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 80.1%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 62.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 61.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Pavelski
Lammikko
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pavelski
Lammikko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Lammikko
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Lammikko
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
52.3% (616)
+0.2%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
56.3% (16)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
37.1% (62)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lammikko shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Lammikko is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Lammikko
Home
55.0% (391)
49.2% (364)
Away
49.7% (360)
53.0% (330)
By Period
Pavelski
Lammikko
P1
50.8%
51.1%
P2
55.0%
52.3%
P3
52.0%
49.8%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |