Joe Pavelski vs Mikael Granlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 39 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Granlund 48.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 47-47 in 94 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 56.6%
Defensive zone
Granlund 56.2%
Neutral zone
Granlund 56.3%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Pavelski
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
47
(94 meetings)
47
47
Pavelski
Granlund
Last 10: Pavelski 3-7 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
17
22
Pavelski
Granlund
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
18
15
Pavelski
Granlund
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
12
10
Pavelski
Granlund
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
48.5% (6,718)
+5.1%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
52.7% (748)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
43.6% (635)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,959).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Granlund
Home
56.4% (5,998)
50.8% (3,884)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
46.3% (4,217)
By Period
Pavelski
Granlund
P1
53.5%
48.7%
P2
55.2%
48.7%
P3
53.9%
48.2%
OT
52.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
54.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |