Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Granlund 47.4% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 53.4%
Defensive zone
Granlund 77.6%
Neutral zone
Granlund 60.4%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Pavelski
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Pavelski
Granlund
Last 10: Pavelski 4-6 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
5
Pavelski
Granlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
3
Pavelski
Granlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
2
Pavelski
Granlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
47.7% (1,001)
+4.8%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
53.4% (73)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
40.2% (132)
+4.2%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Granlund is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Granlund
Home
55.0% (391)
45.9% (582)
Away
49.7% (360)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Pavelski
Granlund
P1
50.8%
48.6%
P2
55.0%
46.7%
P3
52.0%
46.9%
OT
25.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
56.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |