Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Granlund 47.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 52.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 68.3%
Neutral zone
Granlund 57.8%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Pavelski
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Pavelski
Granlund
Last 10: Pavelski 3-7 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
4
Pavelski
Granlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
4
Pavelski
Granlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
46.7% (885)
+4.8%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
44.9% (69)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
49.0% (98)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Granlund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Granlund
Home
53.1% (339)
51.1% (495)
Away
49.2% (356)
42.9% (557)
By Period
Pavelski
Granlund
P1
53.8%
49.9%
P2
47.8%
46.4%
P3
50.2%
44.3%
OT
71.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |