Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pavelski wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 55.5% vs Granlund 52.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 75.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 78.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 77.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Pavelski
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Pavelski
Granlund
Last 5: Pavelski 4-1 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
1
Pavelski
Granlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (849)
51.7% (665)
+4.0%
Power Play
60.0% (205)
60.2% (93)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (152)
48.4% (31)
+3.6%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Pavelski is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Pavelski shoots right. Granlund is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Granlund
Home
59.2% (622)
54.9% (377)
Away
52.6% (584)
50.5% (412)
By Period
Pavelski
Granlund
P1
54.1%
54.7%
P2
56.4%
50.8%
P3
56.4%
53.4%
OT
65.6%
35.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2014 | OT | 03:03 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |