Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.5% vs Kadri 49.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 76.2%
Defensive zone
Kadri 72.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 70.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Pavelski
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Pavelski
Kadri
Last 8: Pavelski 2-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Pavelski
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
Pavelski
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (657)
47.7% (1,087)
+5.9%
Power Play
60.2% (221)
56.9% (195)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (60)
54.5% (22)
-2.8%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Pavelski is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Pavelski shoots right. Kadri is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Kadri
Home
57.4% (470)
51.1% (664)
Away
52.6% (468)
47.2% (640)
By Period
Pavelski
Kadri
P1
53.4%
48.9%
P2
55.6%
48.1%
P3
55.5%
49.8%
OT
62.5%
58.6%
Final 5 min
55.9%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
55.0%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 02:46 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |