Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Kadri 47.7% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 66.8%
Defensive zone
Kadri 55.9%
Neutral zone
Kadri 58.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Pavelski
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pavelski
Kadri
Last 5: Pavelski 2-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
Pavelski
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
46.2% (1,005)
+6.1%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
57.3% (199)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
26.7% (30)
+35.8%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +35.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Kadri
Home
54.2% (360)
47.4% (641)
Away
52.6% (329)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Pavelski
Kadri
P1
54.5%
46.9%
P2
56.7%
49.5%
P3
50.8%
46.2%
OT
30.8%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |