Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.4%). Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Pavelski wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 51.8% vs Acciari 52.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 82.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 66.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 59.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Pavelski
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Pavelski
Acciari
Last 10: Pavelski 6-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
2
Pavelski
Acciari
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pavelski
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (508)
53.1% (375)
+0.4%
Power Play
51.7% (118)
51.5% (33)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (70)
50.5% (111)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Pavelski is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Pavelski shoots right. Acciari is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Acciari
Home
54.3% (372)
49.4% (243)
Away
49.4% (324)
55.1% (276)
By Period
Pavelski
Acciari
P1
48.7%
50.9%
P2
57.7%
54.7%
P3
50.2%
51.7%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |