Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Acciari 53.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 86.2%
Defensive zone
Acciari 74.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 61.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Pavelski
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pavelski
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Pavelski
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
55.6% (426)
-4.1%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
0.0% (2)
+51.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
52.1% (146)
-23.5%
On power play, Pavelski has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Pavelski is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Pavelski shoots right. Acciari is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Acciari
Home
53.1% (339)
55.2% (306)
Away
49.2% (356)
53.7% (268)
By Period
Pavelski
Acciari
P1
53.8%
55.5%
P2
47.8%
54.3%
P3
50.2%
54.1%
OT
71.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |