Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.8%). Pavelski wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Acciari 53.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 70.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 75.4%
Neutral zone
Acciari 54.0%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Pavelski
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Pavelski
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Pavelski
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Pavelski
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
54.5% (532)
-2.2%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
62.5% (8)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
48.8% (86)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Pavelski shoots right. Acciari is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Acciari
Home
54.2% (360)
56.2% (281)
Away
52.6% (329)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Pavelski
Acciari
P1
54.5%
53.4%
P2
56.7%
57.1%
P3
50.8%
51.4%
OT
30.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |