Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 66.3%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 77.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 67.0%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Pavelski
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Pavelski
Bergeron
Last 10: Pavelski 5-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
4
Pavelski
Bergeron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
63.8% (1,102)
-11.3%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
65.3% (288)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
47.6% (210)
-3.2%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Pavelski shoots right. Bergeron is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Bergeron
Home
55.0% (391)
62.5% (882)
Away
49.7% (360)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Pavelski
Bergeron
P1
50.8%
62.5%
P2
55.0%
62.7%
P3
52.0%
60.6%
OT
25.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
56.2%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |