Joe Pavelski vs Patrice Bergeron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 48 meetings). Pavelski wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 51-51 in 102 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 53.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 55.6%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 52.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Pavelski
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
51
-
51
(102 meetings)
51
51
Pavelski
Bergeron
Last 10: Pavelski 6-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
20
10
Pavelski
Bergeron
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
15
33
Pavelski
Bergeron
48 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
16
8
Pavelski
Bergeron
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
60.1% (13,938)
-6.5%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
60.8% (3,213)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
53.0% (2,776)
-2.1%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Pavelski shoots right. Bergeron is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (6,685).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Bergeron
Home
56.4% (5,998)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Pavelski
Bergeron
P1
53.5%
59.3%
P2
55.2%
60.0%
P3
53.9%
58.6%
OT
52.3%
57.9%
Final 5 min
54.4%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | OT | 01:45 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 14, 2023 | OT | 01:38 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 16:25 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |